Free · AI Prop Board

Today's prop board

Every player prop on the slate, run through the model and ranked by PropScore — a 0–100 read that blends the sharp-line edge with the projected hit rate. Higher score, stronger spot.

? What am I looking at? — the metrics in plain English

PropScore 0–100

The headline rating. 50 is a coin flip; higher means the model sees a bigger edge on the over. 70+ is a strong spot.

Proj Model hit %

The model's fair chance the player goes over the line — before the book's cut. Over/Under says which way it leans.

Edge vs the price

Model probability minus what the odds imply. Positive = the price is better than the true chance. That gap is the whole game.

Season real games

How often the player has actually cleared this exact line this year — e.g. "52 of 88 games". History, not a projection; the model can disagree with it.

Analysts 3 lenses

How the Quant (stats), Scout (context) and Sharp (market) each lean. "2/3 back" means two of three like the over.

How the board has actually done

Real hit rates on the posted over, from 172 settled props · 117 still pending. This is how you check the score is worth trusting.

8.7% overall over-hit

Strong edgeScore 70+

15.2% · 10/66

LeanScore 55–69

4.7% · 5/106

Higher PropScore should hit more often — that's the score earning its keep. Grades are building a real track record. Not financial advice.

Score	Prop	Book · Odds	Proj	Edge	Analysts
70	Luis Robert Jr. over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB	+500 Caesars	23% Under	+5.8 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
70	Alex Bregman over 0.5 home runs Home runs Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs · MLB	+500 Caesars	23% Under	+5.8 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
70	Tyrone Taylor over 0.5 home runs Home runs Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs · MLB	+525 Caesars	22% Under	+5.8 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
70	Zach Neto over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB	+500 Caesars	23% Under	+5.8 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Nico Hoerner over 0.5 home runs Home runs Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs · MLB	+4000 Caesars	8% Under	+5.9 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Xander Bogaerts over 0.5 home runs Home runs San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Bo Bichette over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Jarren Duran over 0.5 home runs Home runs Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	William Contreras over 0.5 home runs Home runs Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Brice Turang over 0.5 home runs Home runs Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Dillon Dingler over 0.5 home runs Home runs Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Lawrence Butler over 0.5 home runs Home runs Athletics @ Texas Rangers · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Zack Gelof over 0.5 home runs Home runs Athletics @ Texas Rangers · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Cam Smith over 0.5 home runs Home runs Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Jose Altuve over 0.5 home runs Home runs Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
69	Cody Bellinger over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB	+575 Caesars	21% Under	+5.7 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Hector Rodriguez over 0.5 home runs Home runs San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB	+500 Caesars	22% Under	+5.5 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Jake Cronenworth over 0.5 home runs Home runs San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Tyler Stephenson over 0.5 home runs Home runs San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Francisco Lindor over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB	+475 Caesars	23% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Jonathan Aranda over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Willson Contreras over 0.5 home runs Home runs Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox · MLB	+475 Caesars	23% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Randy Arozarena over 0.5 home runs Home runs Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Carson Kelly over 0.5 home runs Home runs Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Royce Lewis over 0.5 home runs Home runs Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins · MLB	+475 Caesars	23% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Josh Bell over 0.5 home runs Home runs Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins · MLB	+500 Caesars	22% Under	+5.5 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Spencer Torkelson over 0.5 home runs Home runs Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins · MLB	+500 Caesars	22% Under	+5.5 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Kevin McGonigle over 0.5 home runs Home runs Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Colt Keith over 0.5 home runs Home runs Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Brett Callahan over 0.5 home runs Home runs Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Wyatt Langford over 0.5 home runs Home runs Athletics @ Texas Rangers · MLB	+475 Caesars	23% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Andrew Benintendi over 0.5 home runs Home runs Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros · MLB	+500 Caesars	22% Under	+5.5 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Jeremy Pena over 0.5 home runs Home runs Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Isaac Paredes over 0.5 home runs Home runs Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Mike Trout over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB	+475 Caesars	23% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Jazz Chisholm Jr. over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
68	Austin Wells over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB	+525 Caesars	21% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Manny Machado over 0.5 home runs Home runs San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB	+370 Caesars	26% Under	+5.0 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Juan Soto over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB	+350 Caesars	27% Under	+4.8 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Chandler Simpson over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB	+2000 Caesars	10% Under	+5.4 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Cal Raleigh over 0.5 home runs Home runs Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox · MLB	+350 Caesars	27% Under	+4.8 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Seiya Suzuki over 0.5 home runs Home runs Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs · MLB	+390 Caesars	25% Under	+4.9 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Justin Foscue over 0.5 home runs Home runs Athletics @ Texas Rangers · MLB	+500 Caesars	22% Under	+5.1 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Brandon Nimmo over 0.5 home runs Home runs Athletics @ Texas Rangers · MLB	+500 Caesars	22% Under	+5.1 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Miguel Vargas over 0.5 home runs Home runs Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros · MLB	+370 Caesars	26% Under	+5.0 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
67	Ben Rice over 0.5 home runs Home runs New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB	+350 Caesars	27% Under	+4.8 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh
66	Jackson Merrill over 0.5 home runs Home runs San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB	+305 Caesars	29% Under	+4.6 pt	2/3 back Q Sc Sh

PropScore ≥ 70 = strong edge · 55–69 = lean · below 55 = pass. Projection is the model's fair hit rate vs the book's line; edge is model minus the price. Analysts is how the three lenses — Quant (stats), Scout (context), Sharp (market) — lean; green backs, red fades, grey passes. Where they agree, conviction is high. Not financial advice — most bettors lose over time.